Havant & Waterlooville 4-3 Farnham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 7 Jan 2026

📅07/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.63
No
36%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
25%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
47%
Away Win
47%
-0.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.9pp
64%
BTTS Yes
57%
+6.7pp
36%
BTTS No
43%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havant & Waterlooville EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Farnham Town EU Bookmakers 51%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.84/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.72
+107% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
269 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Havant & Waterlooville
4-3
AWAY Farnham Town
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 6
14 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Havant & Waterlooville vs Farnham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havant & Waterlooville nicked a narrow win over Farnham Town 4-3. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Farnham Town at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Havant & Waterlooville had 51% of the ball to Farnham Town's 49%, shots finished 20-6.

What was the final score of Havant & Waterlooville vs Farnham Town?

Havant & Waterlooville 4-3 Farnham Town in the England - Non League Premier on 07/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havant & Waterlooville vs Farnham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Farnham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Havant & Waterlooville 27%, draw 26%, Farnham Town 47%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Farnham Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farnham Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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