İran 2-3 Katar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Asian Cup, 7 Feb 2024

İran
2-3 HT 1-2
Katar
📅07/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Asian Cup – 2023

İran vs Katar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
33%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.33
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.05
6+ Goals
6%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.32
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.0
X/1
15%
3.68
X/2
7%
9.15
X/X
20%
3.95
2/1
4%
29.5
2/2
22%
8.24
2/X
6%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
53%
-18.3pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.9pp
33%
Away Win
19%
+13.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.1pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İran v Katar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İran EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Katar EU Bookmakers 22%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.91/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
+48% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +125% / -57%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 70%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.0 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

İran vs Katar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İran
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Katar
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.75 xG 0.05
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
315 Passes 349
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.10.2023 Katar Katar 0-4 HT 0-0 İran İran HAZ
23.03.2017 Katar Katar 0-1 HT 0-0 İran İran DKE
01.09.2016 İran İran 2-0 HT 0-0 Katar Katar DKE
15.01.2015 Katar Katar 0-1 HT 0-0 İran İran ASK
04.06.2013 Katar Katar 0-1 HT 0-0 İran İran DKE
29.02.2012 İran İran 2-2 HT 1-1 Katar Katar DKE

İran 2-3 Katar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İran
2-3
AWAY Katar
3.03 xG 1.61
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
12 Corners 1
205 Passes 142
60% Pass Accuracy 55%
41 Box Touches 18
36 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İran vs Katar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katar squeezed past İran 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Katar found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İran had 58% of the ball to Katar's 42%, shots finished 23-15, expected goals 3.03 to 1.61 — on chances, İran could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İran had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for İran and 0.33 for Katar.

What was the final score of İran vs Katar?

İran 2-3 Katar in the Asian Cup on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İran vs Katar?

Before kick-off our model rated a İran win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split İran 35%, draw 32%, Katar 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (İran) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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