İran vs Katar Prediction — Model Probabilities
İran v Katar — Team-Based Signals
İran vs Katar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
İran 2-3 Katar — Actual Match Statistics
Katar shaded a tight game against İran 3-2 on their travels. Half-time: 1-2. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
Our pre-match lean was İran at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, İran had 58% of the ball to Katar's 42%, shots finished 23-15, expected goals 3.03 to 1.61 — on chances, İran could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, İran had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for İran and 0.33 for Katar.
İran vs Katar Result & Final Score
İran 2 - 3 Katar in the Asian Cup on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
İran vs Katar Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a İran win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split İran 52%, draw 29%, Katar 20%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.