Sitra 2-3 Muharraq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 7 Feb 2024

Sitra
2-3 HT 1-2
Muharraq
📅07/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Bahrain - Premier League – 2023/2024

Sitra vs Muharraq Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.9
2-3 Goals
35%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.92
6+ Goals
10%
17.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 34% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
44%
Away Win
48%
-4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.2pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sitra v Muharraq — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sitra EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Muharraq EU Bookmakers 52%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
0.84/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.08
-20% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
223 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Sitra vs Muharraq Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sitra
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Muharraq
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.02.2023 Sitra Sitra 1-0 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
28.01.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 0-0 HT 0-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
14.11.2022 Sitra Sitra 2-3 HT 2-2 Muharraq Muharraq BAHK
21.03.2022 Muharraq Muharraq 2-1 Sitra Sitra BAHK
POST-MATCH Sitra vs Muharraq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq nicked a narrow win over Sitra 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Muharraq as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Muharraq led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sitra and 1.25 for Muharraq.

What was the final score of Sitra vs Muharraq?

Sitra 2-3 Muharraq in the Bahrain - Premier League on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sitra vs Muharraq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sitra 31%, draw 26%, Muharraq 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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