Club Brugge 2-1 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 7 Feb 2024

Club Brugge
2-1 HT 1-0
Union Saint-Gilloise
📅07/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Belgium - Cup – 2023/2024

Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.75
6+ Goals
12%
16.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.67
1/2
5%
29.5
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
12%
5.31
X/2
10%
5.43
X/X
10%
4.39
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
29.0
2/2
22%
3.78
2/X
9%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 10% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Club Brugge v Union Saint-Gilloise — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 39%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
1.36/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.62
-87% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
382 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
25.0 Crosses 19.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0

Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.30 xG 1.31
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
480 Passes 239
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.12.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
05.11.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
04.06.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-3 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
06.05.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-2 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
10.02.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
22.10.2022 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-2 HT 1-2 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL

Club Brugge 2-1 Union Saint-Gilloise — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
2-1
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
0.42 xG 0.41
61% Ball Possession 39%
4 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
418 Passes 239
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge nicked a narrow win over Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Club Brugge found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Club Brugge had 61% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 39%, shots finished 4-4, expected goals 0.42 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Club Brugge and 1.50 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Club Brugge 2-1 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Cup on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 39%, draw 24%, Union Saint-Gilloise 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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