Inter Turku 1-2 Gnistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 7 Feb 2024

Inter Turku
1-2 HT 1-1
Gnistan
📅07/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Finland - League Cup – 2024

Inter Turku vs Gnistan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
8%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 27% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Inter Turku v Gnistan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gnistan EU Bookmakers 30%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-50% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Inter Turku 1-2 Gnistan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
1-2
AWAY Gnistan
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs Gnistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gnistan edged past Inter Turku 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Turku at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Inter Turku had 59% of the ball to Gnistan's 41%, shots finished 9-5.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs Gnistan?

Inter Turku 1-2 Gnistan in the Finland - League Cup on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs Gnistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 44%, draw 27%, Gnistan 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Turku) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✓ BTTS Yes
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