Spartak Moskova 0-3 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Feb 2024

Spartak Moskova
0-3 HT 0-2
Rostov
📅07/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Spartak Moskova vs Rostov Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
24%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.67
2-3 Goals
30%
1.9
4-5 Goals
34%
2.81
6+ Goals
9%
7.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.04
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
12.75
X/1
14%
5.22
X/2
4%
6.22
X/X
11%
5.54
2/1
6%
22.9
2/2
12%
3.87
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · 1/X at 12.75 — our 12% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+4.4pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.7pp
24%
Away Win
34%
-10.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.0pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spartak Moskova v Rostov — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 37%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.00/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.55/1.07
+30% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +99% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Spartak Moskova vs Rostov Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Moskova
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rostov
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.29 xG 1.11
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
325 Passes 282
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-1 HT 2-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
29.04.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
11.09.2022 Rostov Rostov 4-2 HT 2-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
24.04.2022 Rostov Rostov 3-2 HT 1-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
30.10.2021 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
04.04.2021 Rostov Rostov 2-3 HT 2-2 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS

Spartak Moskova 0-3 Rostov — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Moskova
0-3
AWAY Rostov
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Spartak Moskova vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov cruised past Spartak Moskova 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Moskova at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Spartak Moskova had 58% of the ball to Rostov's 42%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Spartak Moskova and 2.00 for Rostov.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Rostov?

Spartak Moskova 0-3 Rostov in the Friendlies on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 47%, draw 30%, Rostov 24%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Spartak Moskova), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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