Santa Fe 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 7 Feb 2024

📅07/02/2024 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.1pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.23/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.50
+11% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
20.3 Crosses 11.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.48 xG 0.71
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
320 Passes 300
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
23.04.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
17.09.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 2-1 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
22.03.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
03.09.2021 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOLK
26.08.2021 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
0-1
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.30 xG 0.74
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 3
321 Passes 210
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga edged past Santa Fe 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Fe at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Santa Fe had 60% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 40%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.30 to 0.74 — on chances, Santa Fe could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Santa Fe and 0.67 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Santa Fe 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 51%, draw 26%, Atletico Bucaramanga 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Santa Fe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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