CA Sarmiento 1-1 San Martin San Juan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.7
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.78
2-3 Goals
35%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
7.05
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.66
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.0
X/1
19%
4.78
X/2
9%
6.25
X/X
14%
3.05
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
5.48
2/X
7%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
34%
-4.9pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.2pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.08/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.16
-11% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +54%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
262 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 73%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
19.4 Crosses 15.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Sarmiento
1W-1D-1L
AWAY San Martin San Juan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
188 Passes 284
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
9 Box Touches 29
26 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.05.2017 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 4-2 HT 1-1 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
28.09.2015 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 0-1 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
15.03.2014 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 2-2 HT 1-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Sarmiento
1-1
AWAY San Martin San Juan
1.35 xG 0.96
72% Ball Possession 28%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
440 Passes 107
83% Pass Accuracy 54%
16 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CA Sarmiento vs San Martin San Juan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Sarmiento and San Martin San Juan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, CA Sarmiento had 72% of the ball to San Martin San Juan's 28%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.35 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CA Sarmiento and 2.00 for San Martin San Juan.

What was the final score of CA Sarmiento vs San Martin San Juan?

CA Sarmiento 1-1 San Martin San Juan in the Argentina - Premier League on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Sarmiento vs San Martin San Juan?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Sarmiento win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split CA Sarmiento 36%, draw 29%, San Martin San Juan 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CA Sarmiento), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CA Sarmiento) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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