Perth Glory 1-1 Central Coast Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 7 Feb 2025

Perth Glory
1-1 HT 1-0
Central Coast Mariners
📅07/02/2025 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.78
6+ Goals
13%
7.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.35
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
22.55
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
9%
6.88
X/2
16%
5.4
X/X
13%
5.4
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
21%
2.98
2/X
7%
12.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.55 — our 7% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.0pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Perth Glory v Central Coast Mariners — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 46%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +24%
1.34/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.20
+18% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +98%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 82%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
19.4 Crosses 13.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.77 xG 1.54
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
275 Passes 395
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.11.2024 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 0-0 HT 0-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
31.12.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 4-2 HT 3-1 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
04.11.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-0 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
18.02.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-2 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
23.10.2022 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 1-2 HT 1-1 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
15.03.2022 Perth Glory Perth Glory 0-0 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS

Perth Glory 1-1 Central Coast Mariners — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory
1-1
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
1.55 xG 0.70
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
309 Passes 427
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth Glory and Central Coast Mariners couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Central Coast Mariners at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Perth Glory had 44% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners's 56%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.55 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perth Glory had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Perth Glory and 1.17 for Central Coast Mariners.

What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners?

Perth Glory 1-1 Central Coast Mariners in the Australia - A-League on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated an Central Coast Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 30%, draw 25%, Central Coast Mariners 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Central Coast Mariners), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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