07/02/2025
·
15:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
2-0
Al Ahed vs Al Hikma Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
20%
2/1
3%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
33%
Draw
21%
14%
Away Win
14%
56%
Under 2.5
50%
44%
Over 2.5
50%
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
59%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahed v Al Hikma — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Ahed
EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Hikma
EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+51% /
+51%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+88%
/
+150%
58%
Ball Possession
42%
16
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
2
427 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
254 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Ahed vs Al Hikma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Ahed got the better of Al Hikma 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahed as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Al Ahed vs Al Hikma?
Al Ahed 3-1 Al Hikma in the Lebanon - Premier League on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahed vs Al Hikma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Ahed 53%, draw 33%, Al Hikma 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahed) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Ahed)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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LUBN
More Lebanon - Premier League
7 Feb 2025