Sporting CP II 1-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 7 Feb 2025

Sporting CP II
1-0 HT 1-0
Lusitania FC Lourosa
📅07/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Sporting CP II vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+7.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
37%
Away Win
46%
-8.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting CP II v Lusitania FC Lourosa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.51/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.91
+25% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
215 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

Sporting CP II 1-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP II
1-0
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sporting CP II vs Lusitania FC Lourosa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP II edged past Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Sporting CP II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Sporting CP II had 46% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 54%, shots finished 8-15.

What was the final score of Sporting CP II vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Sporting CP II 1-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP II vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP II 35%, draw 28%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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