İA Akranes 1-1 Thor Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.41
No
37%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-6.8pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.9pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.8pp
63%
BTTS Yes
67%
-4.1pp
37%
BTTS No
33%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 20%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
3.33/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/3.04
+33% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
429 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Thor Akureyri
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 2-3 HT 1-2 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL1
29.06.2023 İA Akranes İA Akranes 4-0 HT 1-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
12.02.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 3-1 HT 2-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZLK
26.02.2015 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-2 HT 0-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
22.09.2013 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-0 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
03.07.2013 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-2 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs Thor Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İA Akranes and Thor Akureyri couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had İA Akranes at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, İA Akranes had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for İA Akranes and 1.17 for Thor Akureyri.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs Thor Akureyri?

İA Akranes 1-1 Thor Akureyri in the Iceland - League Cup on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs Thor Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a İA Akranes win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 59%, draw 20%, Thor Akureyri 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İA Akranes), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İA Akranes) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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