Magallanes 1-2 Santa Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magallanes EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-12% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 80%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.7 Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magallanes
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Santa Cruz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.29 xG 0.26
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
446 Passes 254
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 4
01.02.2026 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 4-1 HT 1-0 Magallanes Magallanes ŞİLİK
12.07.2023 Magallanes Magallanes 3-0 HT 3-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz ŞİLİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magallanes
1-2
AWAY Santa Cruz
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Magallanes vs Santa Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Cruz nicked a narrow win over Magallanes 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Santa Cruz made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Magallanes had 47% of the ball to Santa Cruz's 53%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Magallanes and 2.00 for Santa Cruz.

What was the final score of Magallanes vs Santa Cruz?

Magallanes 1-2 Santa Cruz in the Chile - Cup on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magallanes vs Santa Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Magallanes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Magallanes 40%, draw 29%, Santa Cruz 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Magallanes) ✗ Under 2.5
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