Audax Italiano 3-0 Universidad Concepcion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Concepcion EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.47/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.22
+11% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
19.9 Crosses 16.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audax Italiano
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Universidad Concepcion
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.83 xG 2.08
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
213 Passes 269
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.12.2020 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 3-1 HT 1-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
16.03.2020 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-1 HT 1-0 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİL
07.04.2019 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 1-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
29.07.2018 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 4-1 HT 2-0 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİL
08.04.2018 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 1-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
27.08.2017 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 1-1 HT 1-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audax Italiano
3-0
AWAY Universidad Concepcion
2.23 xG 0.68
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
284 Passes 329
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Audax Italiano vs Universidad Concepcion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audax Italiano swept aside Universidad Concepcion 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 33%) promised a tight game; Audax Italiano found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Audax Italiano had 47% of the ball to Universidad Concepcion's 53%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 2.23 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universidad Concepcion led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Audax Italiano and 1.33 for Universidad Concepcion.

What was the final score of Audax Italiano vs Universidad Concepcion?

Audax Italiano 3-0 Universidad Concepcion in the Chile - Premier League on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audax Italiano vs Universidad Concepcion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audax Italiano win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Audax Italiano 40%, draw 26%, Universidad Concepcion 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Audax Italiano), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Audax Italiano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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