Breidablik 4-0 Keflavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.32
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.68
Over 2.5
57%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.49
No
51%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
71%
-16.8pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.7pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
24%
+19.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
76%
-19.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
63%
-14.2pp
51%
BTTS No
37%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Keflavik EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +56% / +56%
3.24/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.88/1.34
+14% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +109%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
433 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 188 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Keflavik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.58 xG 0.71
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 4
483 Passes 122
84% Pass Accuracy 58%
34 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 2-1 HT 1-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
29.05.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 0-0 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
17.07.2022 Keflavik Keflavik 2-3 HT 1-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
19.04.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 4-1 HT 3-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
25.07.2021 Keflavik Keflavik 2-0 HT 1-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
23.06.2021 Keflavik Keflavik 2-0 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
4-0
AWAY Keflavik
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 4
12 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs Keflavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik cruised past Keflavik 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Breidablik had 68% of the ball to Keflavik's 32%, shots finished 16-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Breidablik and 1.33 for Keflavik.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs Keflavik?

Breidablik 4-0 Keflavik in the Iceland - League Cup on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs Keflavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 54%, draw 24%, Keflavik 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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