Adelaide Comets 1-0 Adelaide City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 7 Mar 2024

Adelaide Comets
1-0 HT 1-0
Adelaide City
📅07/03/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Adelaide Comets vs Adelaide City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.2pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adelaide Comets v Adelaide City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide Comets EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.96/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.67
-44% / +142% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5

Adelaide Comets vs Adelaide City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide Comets
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Adelaide City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.06.2023 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets 2-2 HT 1-1 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
11.03.2023 Adelaide City Adelaide City 4-3 HT 2-0 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVNPL
09.09.2022 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-1 HT 2-1 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVSA
18.06.2022 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets 0-3 HT 0-1 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
12.03.2022 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-1 HT 1-1 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVNPL
22.10.2021 Adelaide City Adelaide City 0-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVSA
POST-MATCH Adelaide Comets vs Adelaide City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide Comets squeezed past Adelaide City 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Adelaide Comets made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide City led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Adelaide Comets and 2.00 for Adelaide City.

What was the final score of Adelaide Comets vs Adelaide City?

Adelaide Comets 1-0 Adelaide City in the Australia - National Premier League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide Comets vs Adelaide City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide Comets win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Adelaide Comets 36%, draw 29%, Adelaide City 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide Comets) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide Comets) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →