Al Ain 0-2 Al Ittihad Kalba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒16:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.69
2-3 Goals
41%
2.03
4-5 Goals
26%
2.62
6+ Goals
9%
6.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.9pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ain EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 31%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.23/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.41
-56% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
15.5 Crosses 16.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ain
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.49 xG 1.11
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
366 Passes 279
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAELK
09.12.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-2 HT 2-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
17.02.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-3 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
02.10.2022 Al Ain Al Ain 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
25.02.2022 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
17.09.2021 Al Ain Al Ain 4-1 HT 4-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ain
0-2
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
0.90 xG 0.97
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
492 Passes 246
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
8 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ain vs Al Ittihad Kalba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad Kalba saw off Al Ain 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ain at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Al Ain had 64% of the ball to Al Ittihad Kalba's 36%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 0.90 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ain had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Al Ain and 0.83 for Al Ittihad Kalba.

What was the final score of Al Ain vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Al Ain 0-2 Al Ittihad Kalba in the UAE - League Cup on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ain vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Ain 49%, draw 26%, Al Ittihad Kalba 26%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Ain) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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