Borneo FC 2-1 Persebaya Surabaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
62%
-10.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.1pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borneo FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.59/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.24
-16% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +39%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borneo FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
376 Passes 298
03.09.2023 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 HT 1-1 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
03.02.2023 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 3-2 HT 0-0 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
19.08.2022 Borneo FC Borneo FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
30.03.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-2 HT 1-2 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
04.09.2021 Borneo FC Borneo FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
11.10.2019 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 0-0 HT 0-0 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borneo FC
2-1
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
71% Ball Possession 29%
6 Total Shots 3
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Borneo FC vs Persebaya Surabaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borneo FC edged past Persebaya Surabaya 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Borneo FC as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Borneo FC had 71% of the ball to Persebaya Surabaya's 29%, shots finished 6-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borneo FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Borneo FC and 1.33 for Persebaya Surabaya.

What was the final score of Borneo FC vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Borneo FC 2-1 Persebaya Surabaya in the Indonesia League 1 on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borneo FC vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borneo FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Borneo FC 52%, draw 25%, Persebaya Surabaya 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borneo FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Borneo FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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