Kanada (K) 2-2 ABD (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's, 7 Mar 2024

Kanada (K)
2-2 HT 0-1
ABD (K)
📅07/03/2024 · 🕒06:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's – 2024

Kanada (K) vs ABD (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
42%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.1
2-3 Goals
47%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 27% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
21%
+15.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
42%
Away Win
55%
-13.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kanada (K) v ABD (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kanada (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY ABD (K) EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
247 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kanada (K) vs ABD (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kanada (K)
1W-2D-3L
AWAY ABD (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.45 xG 1.72
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
268 Passes 332
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
17.02.2023 ABD (K) ABD (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) SHEBEL
02.08.2021 ABD (K) ABD (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) OLİ
18.10.2018 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 ABD (K) ABD (K) Kuzey / Orta Amerika - Kadınlar DK CONCACAF Elemeleri
13.11.2017 ABD (K) ABD (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) HAZ
10.11.2017 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 ABD (K) ABD (K) HAZ
15.08.2008 ABD (K) ABD (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) OLİ

Kanada (K) 2-2 ABD (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kanada (K)
2-2
AWAY ABD (K)
1.36 xG 1.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
193 Passes 174
42% Pass Accuracy 42%
27 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kanada (K) vs ABD (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanada (K) and ABD (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was ABD (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kanada (K) had 53% of the ball to ABD (K)'s 47%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 1.36 to 1.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ABD (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kanada (K) and 1.50 for ABD (K).

What was the final score of Kanada (K) vs ABD (K)?

Kanada (K) 2-2 ABD (K) in the CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kanada (K) vs ABD (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an ABD (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kanada (K) 36%, draw 22%, ABD (K) 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ABD (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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