Malavan FC 1-0 Gol Gohar Sirjan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.66
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
80%
1.33
Over 2.5
20%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
22%
2.44
No
78%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
52%
1.82
2-3 Goals
32%
1.91
4-5 Goals
10%
7.93
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.82 — our 52% vs market 47.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
34%
-6.8pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.0pp
80%
Under 2.5
72%
+8.4pp
20%
Over 2.5
28%
-8.4pp
22%
BTTS Yes
37%
-14.6pp
78%
BTTS No
63%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malavan FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gol Gohar Sirjan EU Bookmakers 30%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.27/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.74
+16% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malavan FC
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Gol Gohar Sirjan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
29.08.2023 Gol Gohar Sirjan Gol Gohar Sirjan 1-1 HT 0-0 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
13.02.2023 Malavan FC Malavan FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Gol Gohar Sirjan Gol Gohar Sirjan IRAN
05.09.2022 Gol Gohar Sirjan Gol Gohar Sirjan 1-0 HT 0-0 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
POST-MATCH Malavan FC vs Gol Gohar Sirjan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malavan FC nicked a narrow win over Gol Gohar Sirjan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Malavan FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (80%), no to both teams scoring (78%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gol Gohar Sirjan led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Malavan FC and 1.33 for Gol Gohar Sirjan.

What was the final score of Malavan FC vs Gol Gohar Sirjan?

Malavan FC 1-0 Gol Gohar Sirjan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malavan FC vs Gol Gohar Sirjan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malavan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Malavan FC 41%, draw 27%, Gol Gohar Sirjan 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malavan FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malavan FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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