07/03/2024
·
12:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Zhenys vs Shakhter Karagandy Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
BTTS Yes
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
21%
Draw
27%
33%
Away Win
31%
41%
Under 2.5
50%
59%
Over 2.5
50%
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
45%
BTTS No
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zhenys v Shakhter Karagandy — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Zhenys
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Shakhter Karagandy
EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-4% /
-2%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+6%
/
-14%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Target
6
7
Corners
4
369 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
274 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.2
POST-MATCH
Zhenys vs Shakhter Karagandy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Zhenys edged past Shakhter Karagandy 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zhenys as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Zhenys vs Shakhter Karagandy?
Zhenys 1-0 Shakhter Karagandy in the Kazakistan - Super League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zhenys vs Shakhter Karagandy?
Before kick-off our model rated a Zhenys win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Zhenys 46%, draw 21%, Shakhter Karagandy 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zhenys) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Zhenys)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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