Al Fahaheel 4-1 Al Salmiyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.65
6+ Goals
8%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 30% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.4pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fahaheel EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Salmiyah EU Bookmakers 34%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.07/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.46
+66% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fahaheel
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Salmiyah
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
06.12.2023 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel KUV
20.05.2023 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel KUV
13.04.2023 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
10.02.2023 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel KUV
27.11.2022 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUVFK
14.09.2022 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel 3-2 HT 2-1 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
POST-MATCH Al Fahaheel vs Al Salmiyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fahaheel ran out comfortable winners over Al Salmiyah 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 21% / 38% — and on the day Al Fahaheel made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Fahaheel and 1.33 for Al Salmiyah.

What was the final score of Al Fahaheel vs Al Salmiyah?

Al Fahaheel 4-1 Al Salmiyah in the Kuwait - Premier League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fahaheel vs Al Salmiyah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fahaheel win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Fahaheel 40%, draw 21%, Al Salmiyah 38%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Fahaheel) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Fahaheel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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