07/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-2
2nd Score
0-1
Hegelmann II vs Be1 NFA Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Away Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
11%
23%
Draw
18%
57%
Away Win
71%
50%
Under 2.5
41%
50%
Over 2.5
59%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hegelmann II v Be1 NFA — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Hegelmann II
EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY
Be1 NFA
EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-20% /
-20%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-21%
/
+42%
40%
Ball Possession
60%
9
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
6
3
Corners
6
241 · 70%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
384 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.7
POST-MATCH
Hegelmann II vs Be1 NFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Be1 NFA got the better of Hegelmann II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Be1 NFA as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Hegelmann II vs Be1 NFA?
Hegelmann II 1-3 Be1 NFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hegelmann II vs Be1 NFA?
Before kick-off our model rated an Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann II 19%, draw 23%, Be1 NFA 57%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Be1 NFA) — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Be1 NFA)
✗ BTTS No
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