07/03/2024
·
15:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Racing Beirut vs Al Ahed Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
No
68%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
14%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
31%
Draw
27%
38%
Away Win
46%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Racing Beirut v Al Ahed — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Racing Beirut
EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Ahed
EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% /
+3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+93%
/
+0%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
287 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
372 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Racing Beirut vs Al Ahed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Ahed nicked a narrow win over Racing Beirut 2-1 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Al Ahed made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Racing Beirut vs Al Ahed?
Racing Beirut 1-2 Al Ahed in the Lebanon - Premier League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Racing Beirut vs Al Ahed?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Racing Beirut 31%, draw 31%, Al Ahed 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahed) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Ahed)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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