Cusco FC 2-0 Alianza Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-10.8pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.7pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.0pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 19%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.48/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.91
-11% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
336 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
18.5 Crosses 14.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cusco FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Alianza Atletico
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.30 xG 0.59
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
258 Passes 274
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.07.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
20.02.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
08.08.2021 Cusco FC Cusco FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
26.10.2017 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 3-2 HT 2-2 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
29.11.2015 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 3-1 HT 2-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
23.08.2015 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cusco FC
2-0
AWAY Alianza Atletico
1.94 xG 0.21
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
404 Passes 291
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 5
15 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cusco FC vs Alianza Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC got the better of Alianza Atletico 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cusco FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cusco FC had 58% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 42%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.94 to 0.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cusco FC and 1.67 for Alianza Atletico.

What was the final score of Cusco FC vs Alianza Atletico?

Cusco FC 2-0 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs Alianza Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 51%, draw 27%, Alianza Atletico 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cusco FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →