RFC Seraing 2-3 Club Brugge II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
9%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 28% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge II EU Bookmakers 51%
-14% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
0.83/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-31% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Seraing
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Club Brugge II
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.86 xG 1.47
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 Passes 355
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II 1-1 HT 1-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
15.03.2024 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II 1-1 HT 1-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
28.10.2023 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 2-1 HT 0-0 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II BEL2
14.03.2021 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II 0-1 HT 0-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
31.01.2021 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 2-1 HT 1-0 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II BEL2
04.12.2020 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II 0-4 HT 0-3 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Seraing
2-3
AWAY Club Brugge II
1.33 xG 1.19
28% Ball Possession 72%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
121 Passes 530
54% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RFC Seraing vs Club Brugge II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge II nicked a narrow win over RFC Seraing 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Club Brugge II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, RFC Seraing had 28% of the ball to Club Brugge II's 72%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 1.33 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RFC Seraing had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for RFC Seraing and 0.67 for Club Brugge II.

What was the final score of RFC Seraing vs Club Brugge II?

RFC Seraing 2-3 Club Brugge II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Seraing vs Club Brugge II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split RFC Seraing 31%, draw 24%, Club Brugge II 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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