Maringa 4-2 Uniao Carmolandense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.25
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
76%
-12.2pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.3pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+7.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.3pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maringa EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao Carmolandense EU Bookmakers 9%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-8% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
461 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maringa
4-2
AWAY Uniao Carmolandense
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Maringa vs Uniao Carmolandense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maringa beat Uniao Carmolandense 4-2. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Maringa as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maringa had 57% of the ball to Uniao Carmolandense's 43%, shots finished 16-12.

What was the final score of Maringa vs Uniao Carmolandense?

Maringa 4-2 Uniao Carmolandense in the Brazil - Cup on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maringa vs Uniao Carmolandense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maringa win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Maringa 64%, draw 21%, Uniao Carmolandense 15%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maringa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maringa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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