Valerenga 0-1 Stromsgodset — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Mar 2025

Valerenga
0-1
Stromsgodset
📅07/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Valerenga vs Stromsgodset Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.37
6+ Goals
13%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.16
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.45
X/1
15%
4.15
X/2
11%
9.72
X/X
12%
5.03
2/1
8%
23.4
2/2
7%
7.94
2/X
9%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.3pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.8pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valerenga v Stromsgodset — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 23%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.64/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.70
+45% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Valerenga vs Stromsgodset Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Stromsgodset
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.57 xG 0.98
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
447 Passes 252
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
42 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.08.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-3 HT 1-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
11.06.2023 Valerenga Valerenga 0-1 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
01.10.2022 Valerenga Valerenga 4-0 HT 4-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
22.05.2022 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 3-2 HT 3-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
03.10.2021 Valerenga Valerenga 3-0 HT 2-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
04.07.2021 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-1 HT 1-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
POST-MATCH Valerenga vs Stromsgodset
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stromsgodset edged past Valerenga 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Valerenga at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valerenga had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Valerenga and 1.00 for Stromsgodset.

What was the final score of Valerenga vs Stromsgodset?

Valerenga 0-1 Stromsgodset in the Friendlies on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Stromsgodset?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 46%, draw 30%, Stromsgodset 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Valerenga), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valerenga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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