Erbil 0-1 Al Minaa Basra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.02
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.67
Over 2.5
34%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.9
No
63%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
46%
-14.9pp
34%
Draw
28%
+6.2pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
56%
+10.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
44%
-10.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
49%
-12.0pp
63%
BTTS No
51%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erbil EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Minaa Basra EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -51%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Erbil vs Al Minaa Basra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Minaa Basra nicked a narrow win over Erbil 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 34% / 35% — and on the day Al Minaa Basra made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

What was the final score of Erbil vs Al Minaa Basra?

Erbil 0-1 Al Minaa Basra in the Iraq - Premier League on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erbil vs Al Minaa Basra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Minaa Basra win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Erbil 31%, draw 34%, Al Minaa Basra 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Minaa Basra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Minaa Basra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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