Burgan 1-5 Al Salmiyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Veliaht Prens Cup, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
41%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.68
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 25% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
21%
+15.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
41%
Away Win
55%
-14.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgan EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Salmiyah EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
232 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgan
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Salmiyah
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
02.12.2023 Burgan Burgan 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUVPK
26.10.2022 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 8-1 HT 4-0 Burgan Burgan KUVPK
21.09.2022 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 2-3 HT 0-0 Burgan Burgan KUVFK
18.12.2020 Burgan Burgan 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgan
1-5
AWAY Al Salmiyah
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 30
6 Shots on Target 16
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Burgan vs Al Salmiyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Salmiyah swept aside Burgan 5-1 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 41% — and on the day Al Salmiyah made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Burgan had 34% of the ball to Al Salmiyah's 66%, shots finished 14-30.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Burgan and 3.00 for Al Salmiyah.

What was the final score of Burgan vs Al Salmiyah?

Burgan 1-5 Al Salmiyah in the Kuwait - Veliaht Prens Cup on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgan vs Al Salmiyah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Salmiyah win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Burgan 36%, draw 23%, Al Salmiyah 41%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Salmiyah), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Salmiyah) ✓ Over 2.5
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