FK Riteriai vs Zalgiris Vilnius Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FK Riteriai v Zalgiris Vilnius — Team-Based Signals
FK Riteriai vs Zalgiris Vilnius Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-6
HT 1-2
Zalgiris Vilnius
LIT1
3-0
HT 1-0
FK Riteriai
LITA
0-2
HT 0-0
Zalgiris Vilnius
LIT1
1-0
HT 0-0
FK Riteriai
LIT1
3-1
HT 2-0
FK Riteriai
LIT1
2-1
HT 0-0
FK Riteriai
LITK
FK Riteriai 3-3 Zalgiris Vilnius — Actual Match Statistics
FK Riteriai and Zalgiris Vilnius shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Zalgiris Vilnius at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, FK Riteriai had 44% of the ball to Zalgiris Vilnius's 56%, shots finished 18-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FK Riteriai and 2.83 for Zalgiris Vilnius.
What was the final score of FK Riteriai vs Zalgiris Vilnius?
FK Riteriai 3-3 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FK Riteriai vs Zalgiris Vilnius?
Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FK Riteriai 17%, draw 28%, Zalgiris Vilnius 55%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.