Boston River 0-0 Bahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.71
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
47%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.66
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.92
6+ Goals
8%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 31% vs market 30.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+6.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
47%
Away Win
57%
-9.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahia EU Bookmakers 61%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston River
0-0
AWAY Bahia
0.04 xG 0.20
35% Ball Possession 65%
2 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 1
272 Passes 547
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
4 Box Touches 8
9 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH Boston River vs Bahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston River and Bahia fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Bahia at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Boston River had 35% of the ball to Bahia's 65%, shots finished 2-5, expected goals 0.04 to 0.20.

What was the final score of Boston River vs Bahia?

Boston River 0-0 Bahia in the Copa Libertadores on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs Bahia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Boston River 24%, draw 29%, Bahia 47%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bahia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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