Katsina United 1-0 Shooting Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.75
No
66%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.3pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.3pp
17%
Away Win
17%
-0.1pp
34%
BTTS Yes
32%
+1.8pp
66%
BTTS No
68%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katsina United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 20%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.64/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.32
+14% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katsina United
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Shooting Stars
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.10.2024 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 1-0 HT 0-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
03.01.2022 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 1-0 HT 0-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
POST-MATCH Katsina United vs Shooting Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katsina United edged past Shooting Stars 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Katsina United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shooting Stars led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Katsina United and 1.00 for Shooting Stars.

What was the final score of Katsina United vs Shooting Stars?

Katsina United 1-0 Shooting Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katsina United vs Shooting Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katsina United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Katsina United 51%, draw 32%, Shooting Stars 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katsina United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Katsina United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →