Zorya Luhansk 2-1 Obolon Kyiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.6pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.7pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.3pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -14%
1.37/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.49
+15% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zorya Luhansk
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Obolon Kyiv
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
30.08.2024 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 0-2 HT 0-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
28.04.2024 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 0-0 HT 0-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
20.10.2023 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 2-4 HT 2-2 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
POST-MATCH Zorya Luhansk vs Obolon Kyiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zorya Luhansk edged past Obolon Kyiv 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Zorya Luhansk made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zorya Luhansk had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zorya Luhansk and 0.67 for Obolon Kyiv.

What was the final score of Zorya Luhansk vs Obolon Kyiv?

Zorya Luhansk 2-1 Obolon Kyiv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zorya Luhansk vs Obolon Kyiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zorya Luhansk win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zorya Luhansk 40%, draw 30%, Obolon Kyiv 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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