HK Kopavogur 2-1 AEgir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.18
Draw
16%
7.13
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
80%
-9.0pp
16%
Draw
11%
+4.9pp
13%
Away Win
8%
+4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY AEgir EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.47/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/4.32
-13% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / -36%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
472 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HK Kopavogur
2W-0D-0L
AWAY AEgir
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.08.2022 AEgir AEgir 1-3 HT 0-1 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL1
23.06.2022 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 3-1 HT 0-0 AEgir AEgir İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HK Kopavogur
2-1
AWAY AEgir
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HK Kopavogur vs AEgir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HK Kopavogur edged past AEgir 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had HK Kopavogur as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, HK Kopavogur had 58% of the ball to AEgir's 42%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, HK Kopavogur had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for HK Kopavogur and 1.00 for AEgir.

What was the final score of HK Kopavogur vs AEgir?

HK Kopavogur 2-1 AEgir in the Iceland - League Cup on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HK Kopavogur vs AEgir?

Before kick-off our model rated a HK Kopavogur win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split HK Kopavogur 71%, draw 16%, AEgir 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HK Kopavogur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (HK Kopavogur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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