Ukrayna (K) 1-3 İspanya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Women's World Cup, 7 Mar 2026

Ukrayna (K)
1-3 HT 0-2
İspanya (K)
📅07/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✓
Women's World Cup – 2026

Ukrayna (K) vs İspanya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
9.57
Draw
8%
8.78
Away
77%
1.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
19.6
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
36%
3.79
4-5 Goals
22%
2.3
6+ Goals
29%
1.9
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 3.79 — our 36% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
2%
2/1
2%
2/2
50%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
10%
+5.1pp
7%
Draw
11%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ukrayna (K) v İspanya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ukrayna (K) EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY İspanya (K) EU Bookmakers 97%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.46/4.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/0.08
+3% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
200 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 461 · 85%
8.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.0
5.0 Crosses 18.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Ukrayna (K) vs İspanya (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ukrayna (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY İspanya (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
0.12 xG 2.81
25% Ball Possession 75%
2 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 7
145 Passes 614
63% Pass Accuracy 88%
6 Box Touches 52
6 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.09.2022 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) 5-0 HT 4-0 Ukrayna (K) Ukrayna (K) KDK

Ukrayna (K) 1-3 İspanya (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ukrayna (K)
1-3
AWAY İspanya (K)
0.83 xG 2.67
26% Ball Possession 74%
5 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 13
1 Corners 7
142 Passes 541
63% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 42
5 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ukrayna (K) vs İspanya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya (K) beat Ukrayna (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İspanya (K) as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Ukrayna (K) had 26% of the ball to İspanya (K)'s 74%, shots finished 5-26, expected goals 0.83 to 2.67.

What was the final score of Ukrayna (K) vs İspanya (K)?

Ukrayna (K) 1-3 İspanya (K) in the Women's World Cup on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ukrayna (K) vs İspanya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an İspanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Ukrayna (K) 15%, draw 7%, İspanya (K) 77%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İspanya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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