ABD (K) 1-0 Kolombiya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — SheBelieves Cup, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.22
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
10%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.4
No
50%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
77%
-2.3pp
16%
Draw
15%
+0.7pp
10%
Away Win
8%
+1.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
38%
+12.0pp
50%
BTTS No
62%
-12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolombiya (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.39/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.59
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -37%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
509 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
13.0 Crosses 10.6
0.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD (K)
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Kolombiya (K)
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.36 xG 0.41
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
303 Passes 233
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.02.2025 ABD (K) ABD (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) SHEBEL
04.03.2024 ABD (K) ABD (K) 3-0 HT 3-0 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) GKK
30.10.2023 ABD (K) ABD (K) 3-0 HT 0-0 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) HAZ
27.10.2023 ABD (K) ABD (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) HAZ
23.06.2015 ABD (K) ABD (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) KDK
28.07.2012 ABD (K) ABD (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) OLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD (K)
1-0
AWAY Kolombiya (K)
0.87 xG 0.67
67% Ball Possession 33%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
474 Passes 194
88% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ABD (K) vs Kolombiya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABD (K) nicked a narrow win over Kolombiya (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ABD (K) as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ABD (K) had 67% of the ball to Kolombiya (K)'s 33%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.87 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ABD (K) had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for ABD (K) and 0.00 for Kolombiya (K).

What was the final score of ABD (K) vs Kolombiya (K)?

ABD (K) 1-0 Kolombiya (K) in the SheBelieves Cup on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD (K) vs Kolombiya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split ABD (K) 74%, draw 16%, Kolombiya (K) 10%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ABD (K)) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ABD (K)) ✗ Over 2.5
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