Progreso 2-2 Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Progreso EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Albion EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
1.37/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/2.00
+19% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -44%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 9.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Progreso
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Albion
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2023 Albion Albion 3-0 HT 1-0 Progreso Progreso URU2
22.04.2023 Progreso Progreso 1-0 HT 0-0 Albion Albion URU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Progreso
2-2
AWAY Albion
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Progreso vs Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Progreso and Albion couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Progreso had 49% of the ball to Albion's 51%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Progreso and 1.50 for Albion.

What was the final score of Progreso vs Albion?

Progreso 2-2 Albion in the Uruguay - Premier League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Progreso vs Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Progreso 33%, draw 27%, Albion 40%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Albion) ✗ Under 2.5
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7 Mar 2026
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