Utsiktens BK 0-0 Gefle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.7
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 28% vs market 21.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.02
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.0
X/1
16%
3.78
X/2
8%
10.6
X/X
13%
5.62
2/1
9%
22.3
2/2
8%
8.22
2/X
6%
16.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utsiktens BK EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Gefle EU Bookmakers 21%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.78/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.81
-2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utsiktens BK
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Gefle
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
03.11.2023 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 0-0 HT 0-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
23.04.2023 Gefle Gefle 1-1 HT 0-1 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utsiktens BK
0-0
AWAY Gefle
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Utsiktens BK vs Gefle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utsiktens BK and Gefle fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Utsiktens BK at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Utsiktens BK had 41% of the ball to Gefle's 59%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Utsiktens BK and 0.50 for Gefle.

What was the final score of Utsiktens BK vs Gefle?

Utsiktens BK 0-0 Gefle in the Sweden - Superettan on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utsiktens BK vs Gefle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utsiktens BK win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Utsiktens BK 53%, draw 25%, Gefle 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Utsiktens BK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Utsiktens BK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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