Bergdalens 0-2 Varbergs GIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
50%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.4pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.7pp
50%
Away Win
48%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.2pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergdalens EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bergdalens
0-2
AWAY Varbergs GIF
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bergdalens vs Varbergs GIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs GIF beat Bergdalens 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Varbergs GIF as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Bergdalens had 30% of the ball to Varbergs GIF's 70%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Bergdalens vs Varbergs GIF?

Bergdalens 0-2 Varbergs GIF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergdalens vs Varbergs GIF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Varbergs GIF win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bergdalens 30%, draw 20%, Varbergs GIF 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varbergs GIF) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Varbergs GIF) ✗ BTTS Yes
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