St. Gallen 2-2 Young Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.98
4-5 Goals
26%
2.69
6+ Goals
11%
6.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.07
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
16%
5.47
X/2
10%
6.44
X/X
11%
5.74
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.7
2/2
17%
3.84
2/X
8%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.6pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Young Boys EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -15%
1.63/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.38
+10% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
330 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
18.5 Crosses 23.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Gallen
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Young Boys
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.39 xG 1.47
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
286 Passes 282
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.12.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 3-0 HT 2-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
27.09.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-1 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
06.05.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 0-2 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
12.02.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 5-1 HT 2-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
08.10.2022 Young Boys Young Boys 2-1 HT 1-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
04.09.2022 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-1 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Gallen
2-2
AWAY Young Boys
1.38 xG 1.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
194 Passes 213
63% Pass Accuracy 66%
14 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Gallen vs Young Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Gallen and Young Boys shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was St. Gallen at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, St. Gallen had 49% of the ball to Young Boys's 51%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.38 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Gallen and 2.33 for Young Boys.

What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Young Boys?

St. Gallen 2-2 Young Boys in the Switzerland - Super League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Young Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 42%, draw 25%, Young Boys 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Gallen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Gallen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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