Union La Calera 2-3 O Higgins — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
30%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.2pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.1pp
30%
Away Win
37%
-7.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY O Higgins EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.23/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.07
+18% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
246 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 72%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
17.5 Crosses 14.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
2W-2D-2L
AWAY O Higgins
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.99 xG 0.81
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 Passes 263
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 O Higgins O Higgins 0-1 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
17.04.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-1 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
14.09.2022 O Higgins O Higgins 2-2 HT 1-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
19.04.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-0 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
25.09.2021 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-0 HT 1-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
25.04.2021 O Higgins O Higgins 1-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union La Calera
2-3
AWAY O Higgins
1.16 xG 0.47
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
180 Passes 256
63% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs O Higgins
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

O Higgins edged past Union La Calera 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; O Higgins found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Union La Calera had 45% of the ball to O Higgins's 55%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.16 to 0.47 — on chances, Union La Calera could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Union La Calera and 0.67 for O Higgins.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs O Higgins?

Union La Calera 2-3 O Higgins in the Chile - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs O Higgins?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union La Calera win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 38%, draw 32%, O Higgins 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union La Calera), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union La Calera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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