Penya Encarnada 1-2 Atletic Club DEscaldes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
3%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+8.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-6.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.2pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletic Club DEscaldes EU Bookmakers 59%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.00/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.04
-29% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -13%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
303 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penya Encarnada
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Atletic Club DEscaldes
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.12.2023 Atletic Club DEscaldes Atletic Club DEscaldes 3-0 HT 1-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
04.11.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletic Club DEscaldes Atletic Club DEscaldes AND
07.05.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletic Club DEscaldes Atletic Club DEscaldes AND
12.03.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletic Club DEscaldes Atletic Club DEscaldes AND
04.12.2022 Atletic Club DEscaldes Atletic Club DEscaldes 4-0 HT 2-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
16.10.2022 Atletic Club DEscaldes Atletic Club DEscaldes 3-0 HT 2-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Penya Encarnada
1-2
AWAY Atletic Club DEscaldes
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Penya Encarnada vs Atletic Club DEscaldes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletic Club DEscaldes squeezed past Penya Encarnada 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletic Club DEscaldes as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Penya Encarnada had 56% of the ball to Atletic Club DEscaldes's 44%, shots finished 8-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletic Club DEscaldes led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Penya Encarnada and 2.50 for Atletic Club DEscaldes.

What was the final score of Penya Encarnada vs Atletic Club DEscaldes?

Penya Encarnada 1-2 Atletic Club DEscaldes in the Andorra - 1st Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penya Encarnada vs Atletic Club DEscaldes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletic Club DEscaldes win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Penya Encarnada 29%, draw 22%, Atletic Club DEscaldes 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletic Club DEscaldes), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletic Club DEscaldes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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