Dinamo Minsk 2-2 Naftan Novopolotsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.18
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.43
Over 2.5
59%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
27%
2.72
6+ Goals
16%
6.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
80%
-15.5pp
22%
Draw
14%
+7.5pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+8.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.5pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
2.78/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/3.10
+16% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -27%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
590 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Minsk
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-3 HT 0-2 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
22.04.2023 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 3-1 HT 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
26.09.2015 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 2-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
31.05.2015 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 2-1 HT 0-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
05.10.2014 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 2-0 HT 0-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
07.06.2014 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 2-1 HT 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Minsk
2-2
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dinamo Minsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Minsk and Naftan Novopolotsk shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dinamo Minsk at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Dinamo Minsk had 67% of the ball to Naftan Novopolotsk's 33%, shots finished 17-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Minsk had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Dinamo Minsk and 0.83 for Naftan Novopolotsk.

What was the final score of Dinamo Minsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk?

Dinamo Minsk 2-2 Naftan Novopolotsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Minsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Minsk 64%, draw 22%, Naftan Novopolotsk 14%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Dinamo Minsk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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