OFK Pirin 0-2 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
9.57
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
66%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
25%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
8%
+5.9pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.5pp
66%
Away Win
77%
-10.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.2pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFK Pirin EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 81%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.65/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/0.68
-8% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +24%
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
169 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFK Pirin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 27
1 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
08.10.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 4-0 HT 1-0 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFK Pirin
0-2
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH OFK Pirin vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad beat OFK Pirin 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, OFK Pirin had 40% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 60%, shots finished 5-12.

What was the final score of OFK Pirin vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

OFK Pirin 0-2 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFK Pirin vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split OFK Pirin 14%, draw 20%, Ludogorets Razgrad 66%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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