TPV Tampere 1-0 Ilves II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Kakkonen, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.55
2-3 Goals
34%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.64
6+ Goals
14%
6.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
23%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.8pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.9pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+1.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.8pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TPV Tampere EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves II EU Bookmakers 49%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.04/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.86
+33% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPV Tampere
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Ilves II
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2021 Ilves II Ilves II 3-0 HT 3-0 TPV Tampere TPV Tampere FİNKAK
24.06.2021 TPV Tampere TPV Tampere 1-0 HT 1-0 Ilves II Ilves II FİNKAK
24.09.2020 TPV Tampere TPV Tampere 1-0 HT 1-0 Ilves II Ilves II FİNKAK
12.09.2020 TPV Tampere TPV Tampere 1-3 HT 0-2 Ilves II Ilves II FİNKAK
02.08.2020 Ilves II Ilves II 3-0 HT 1-0 TPV Tampere TPV Tampere FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TPV Tampere
1-0
AWAY Ilves II
30% Ball Possession 70%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH TPV Tampere vs Ilves II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TPV Tampere edged past Ilves II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ilves II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, TPV Tampere had 30% of the ball to Ilves II's 70%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ilves II led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for TPV Tampere and 1.80 for Ilves II.

What was the final score of TPV Tampere vs Ilves II?

TPV Tampere 1-0 Ilves II in the Finland - Kakkonen on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TPV Tampere vs Ilves II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split TPV Tampere 36%, draw 18%, Ilves II 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ilves II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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