Royal AM 3-2 Polokwane City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.13
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
5.95
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.5pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.7pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal AM EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 39%
+13% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.07/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.86
+3% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -54%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
15.4 Crosses 18.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal AM
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Polokwane City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 1.68
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
298 Passes 214
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 Polokwane City Polokwane City 1-0 HT 1-0 Royal AM Royal AM GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal AM
3-2
AWAY Polokwane City
1.02 xG 1.19
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
278 Passes 317
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Royal AM vs Polokwane City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal AM squeezed past Polokwane City 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Royal AM found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Royal AM had 48% of the ball to Polokwane City's 52%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.02 to 1.19.

What was the final score of Royal AM vs Polokwane City?

Royal AM 3-2 Polokwane City in the South Afrika - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal AM vs Polokwane City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royal AM win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Royal AM 35%, draw 30%, Polokwane City 35%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAFPSL More South Afrika - Premier League
7 Apr 2024
16:00 Cape Town City vs AmaZulu Analysis →