Karela 1-0 Heart of Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

Karela
1-0
Heart of Lions
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Gana - Premier League – 2025/2026

Karela vs Heart of Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
23%
2.94
Away
32%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.41
Over 2.5
37%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.44
No
64%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.9pp
23%
Draw
31%
-7.8pp
32%
Away Win
19%
+12.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
67%
-4.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
33%
+4.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
37%
-1.1pp
64%
BTTS No
63%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Karela v Heart of Lions — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karela EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Heart of Lions EU Bookmakers 22%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
0.44/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-66% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Karela vs Heart of Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karela squeezed past Heart of Lions 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karela as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Karela vs Heart of Lions?

Karela 1-0 Heart of Lions in the Gana - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karela vs Heart of Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karela win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Karela 45%, draw 23%, Heart of Lions 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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