Xelaju MC 0-2 Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 7 Apr 2024

Xelaju MC
0-2 HT 0-1
Municipal
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2023/2024

Xelaju MC vs Municipal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.45
Over 2.5
43%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.8pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Xelaju MC v Municipal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal EU Bookmakers 36%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
0.81/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.22
-38% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Xelaju MC vs Municipal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Municipal
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
05.04.2023 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
12.02.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
17.11.2022 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
04.09.2022 Municipal Municipal 1-1 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
09.02.2022 Municipal Municipal 2-2 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT

Xelaju MC 0-2 Municipal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xelaju MC
0-2
AWAY Municipal
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal got the better of Xelaju MC 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Municipal found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Xelaju MC had 60% of the ball to Municipal's 40%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Xelaju MC and 1.00 for Municipal.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Municipal?

Xelaju MC 0-2 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 38%, draw 27%, Municipal 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Xelaju MC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAT More Guatemala - National League
7 Apr 2024
00:00 Coban Imperial vs Antigua GFC Analysis →
03:00 CSD Comunicaciones vs Mixco Analysis →