Al Gharafa vs Umm Salal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Gharafa v Umm Salal — Team-Based Signals
Al Gharafa vs Umm Salal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Al Gharafa
KAT
1-2
HT 0-1
Al Gharafa
KAT
2-2
HT 1-1
Umm Salal
KAT
3-1
HT 1-1
Al Gharafa
KAT
1-0
HT 0-0
Umm Salal
KAT
1-5
HT 1-1
Al Gharafa
KAT
Al Gharafa 1-1 Umm Salal — Actual Match Statistics
Al Gharafa and Umm Salal couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
This one beat our numbers. Al Gharafa carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Al Gharafa had 67% of the ball to Umm Salal's 33%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.97 to 0.97.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Gharafa had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Gharafa and 1.33 for Umm Salal.
What was the final score of Al Gharafa vs Umm Salal?
Al Gharafa 1-1 Umm Salal in the Qatar League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Gharafa vs Umm Salal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 56%, draw 22%, Umm Salal 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Gharafa), Over 2.5 went the other way.